Olympic vs Premier League

Olympic vs Premier League Value of Money

 

Did you know the entire TeamGB Olympic team for four years running up to the recent Rio Games cost £274m, for that rather large sum of money 67 medals were won. On a crude calculation, the United Kingdom spent about £4.1m per medal.

But on a more surprising note, the entire cost of TeamGB for four years is similar in cost to the annual wage bill of two Premiership Football teams.

The table below lists out clubs and their turnover and wage bill for 2016 (Source)

Club Wages £m
Manchester United 232
Chelsea 224
Liverpool 208
Manchester City 198
Arsenal 195
Tottenham Hotspur 100
Aston Villa 93
Southampton 85
West Ham United 85
Everton 84
Sunderland 84
Stoke City 82
Swansea City 82
Crystal Palace 81
Leicester City 80
Newcastle United 75
West Bromwich Albion 74
Norwich City 67
Bournemouth 60
Watford 58
Total 2247

The English National football team has come 26th, 13th and 7th place in the last three World Cups. The Scottish , Northern Irish and Welsh National Teams have not qualified for the last four World Cups

It appears to me, we as a nation have invested wisely in our elite Olympic athletes, whereas our mens football has been far more disappointing. I would argue the Olympic Teams success needs to maintain funding and we should encourage our football association to invest in learning from TeamGB 

Cross fertilisation of ideas, practice and experience is needed!

 

Football Wage Bill Averaging

Whilst writing this blog, it occured to me there is a large differential between the wage bills in the premier league, the average wage bill is circa £112m and the most expensive team is over 2 times that figure and the cheapest team is about half that average. This large differential in wage bills does impacts the outcomes, large clubs with large budgets can buy a session, whereas smaller clubs with modest pockets are left at the bottom of the table.

We could, very easily provide fans with an alternative league position, one which takes into account the wage bill. I propose the FA adopt the following formala to generate the Value Added League Table (VALT).

  • An average of the last seasons wage bill is calculated (in the season above it would be £112.35m).
  • Each teams wage bill is a percentage of the average (e.g. Leicester City is 71% of the average,  Manchester United is 206% of the average).
  • If the clubs wage bill is over 100% of the average, the percentage is multiplied by -3 and rounded up to the nearest whole number (e.g. Manchester United would be -7)
  • If the clubs wage bill is under 100% of the average, the percentage is multiplied by 3 and rounded up to the nearest whole number (e.g. Leicester would be 3)
  • The calculated number would be the number of points a team starts with at the begining of the season.

The table below applies this formula to 2015/16, it has a dramatic effect, i.e. as can be seen under this calculation Leicester City, Tottenham and Southampton would have come 1st, 2nd and 3rd. Whereas in reality, Leicester City, Arsenal and Tottenham came 1st, 2nd and 3rd. Chelsea would have moved down six positions in the league table and the bottom of the table would remain the same.

2015/16 Financials Actual 2015/16 Revised 2015/16 Position Diference
Club Wages %age of average Starting Points Point Scored Place Points Place
Leicester City 80 71% 1 81 1 82 1 Same
Tottenham Hotspur 100 89% 1 70 3 71 2 1
Southampton 85 76% 1 63 6 64 3 3
West Ham United 85 76% 1 62 7 63 4 3
Arsenal 195 174% -6 71 2 65 5 -3
Manchester City 198 176% -6 66 5 60 6 -1
Manchester United 232 206% -7 66 4 59 7 -3
Stoke City 82 73% 1 51 9 52 8 1
Liverpool 208 185% -6 60 8 54 9 -1
Everton 84 75% 1 47 11 48 10 1
Swansea City 82 73% 1 47 12 48 11 1
Watford 58 52% 2 45 13 47 12 1
West Bromwich Albion 74 66% 2 43 14 45 13 1
Crystal Palace 81 72% 1 42 15 43 14 1
Bournemouth 60 53% 2 42 16 44 15 1
Chelsea 224 199% -6 50 10 44 16 -6
Sunderland 84 75% 1 39 17 40 17 Same
Newcastle United 75 67% 1 37 18 38 18 Same
Norwich City 67 60% 2 34 19 36 19 Same
Aston Villa 93 83% 1 17 20 18 20 Same

The table below applies the same formula to 2016/17, it has a far more subtle impact. As can be seen under this calculation  it would have made no impact to who won or or was relegated. However the points difference between the winning team and second place reduced from 7 points to 5 which would have made for a more cometitive season.

2016/17 Financials Actual 2016/17 Revised 2016/17 Position Diference
Club Wages %age of average Starting Points Point Scored Place Points Place
Chelsea 218 194% -6 93 1 87 1 Same
Tottenham 121.2 108% -4 86 2 82 2 Same
Manchester City 225 200% -7 78 3 71 3 Same
Liverpool 165.6 147% -5 76 4 71 4 Same
Arsenal 200.5 178% -6 75 5 69 5 Same
Manchester United 220.8 197% -6 69 6 63 6 Same
Everton 83 74% 1 61 7 62 7 Same
Bournemouth 34 30% 3 46 9 49 8 1
Southampton 63.6 57% 2 46 8 48 9 -1
West Bromwich 65 58% 2 45 10 47 10 Same
West Ham United 79.8 71% 1 45 11 46 11 Same
Leicester City 66 59% 2 44 12 46 12 Same
Stoke City 75.9 68% 1 44 13 45 13 Same
Swansea City 59 53% 2 41 15 43 14 1
Crystal Palace 55 49% 2 41 14 43 15 -1
Burnley 33 29% 3 40 16 43 16 Same
Watford 41 36% 2 40 17 42 17 Same
Hull City 25 22% 3 34 18 37 18 Same
Middlesbrough 34 30% 3 28 19 31 19 Same
Sunderland 68.3 61% 2 24 20 26 20 Same

 

I would suggest this type of “alternative” league would encourage larger clubs to be more prudent with their moneys and other clubs to value their relative success. For clarity, I do not propose scrapping the currrent league system, I simply propose adding another measure of success(or otherwise).